Wellcome

Modelling our future [electronic resource] : population ageing, health, and aged care / edited by Anil Gupta, Ann Harding.

Contributor(s): Gupta, Anil, statistician | Harding, Ann, 1958- | International Microsimulation Conference on Population Ageing and Health (2003 : Canberra, A.C.T.)Material type: TextTextSeries: International symposia in economic theory and econometrics ; v. 16.Publication details: Boston, Mass. : Elsevier B.V., 2007Edition: 1st edDescription: 1 online resource (xxx, 569 p.)ISBN: 9781849508087 (electronic bk.) :Other title: Modeling our futureSubject(s): Policy sciences -- Computer simulation -- Congresses | Social sciences -- Computer simulation -- Congresses | Social sciences -- Forecasting -- Congresses | Population aging -- Congresses | Social Science -- Gerontology | Medical -- Health Care Delivery | Care of the elderlyAdditional physical formats: No titleDDC classification: 320.601/13 LOC classification: H97 | .M63 2007Online resources: Click here to access online
Contents:
Introduction and overview / Ann Harding -- Health status, health inequalities and the ability of older Australians to stay in the labour force / Agnes Walker -- Evaluating catastrophic drug expenditure plans / Bert Waslander -- Projections of Commonwealth health expenditure in Australia's first intergenerational report / George Rothman -- The Australian Pharmaceuticals benefit scheme and older australians : changes in government outlays and consumer costs from the 2002-03 federal budget measures / Ann Harding -- Modelling Medicare and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) utilisation and costs / Brett Parsons -- A microsimulation model for Pharmacare : development, analysis and policy applications / Anil Gupta -- Microsimulation model of medical insurance reform for government employees and workers in China / Lin Guohong -- The view from the middle : taking care of the young and the old / Steve Gribble -- A simulation model concerning future needs for long-term care of elderly persons in Sweden / Marten Lagergren -- Providing income support services to a changing aged population in Australia : Centrelinks regional microsimulation model / Anthony King -- Building policy-relevant health human resource models / Kisalaya Basu -- What is behind HRSA's projected U.S. supply, demand, and shortages of registered nurses / Timothy M. Dall -- Data quality and non-response effects when using logistical regression in the Welsh health survey / Ruth Studley -- Confidentiality and anonymised survey records : the UK experience / Paul Williamson -- Population ageing and health empirical needs for effective foresight / Michael C. Wolfson -- The search for ideas among existing microsimulation models / Anil Gupta -- Model 1 : MOSART (dynamic cross-sectional microsimulation model) / Nils M. Stolen -- Model 2 : DYNAMOD / Simon Kelly -- Model 3 : the SAGE Model : a dynamic microsimulation population model for Britain / Asghar Zaidi -- Model 4 : Lifepaths model / Steve Gribble -- Model 5 : SESIM (longitudinal dynamic microsimulation model) / Olle Sundberg -- Model 6 : DYNACAN (longitudinal dynamic microsimulation model) / Richard J. Morrison -- Model 7 : DESTINIE (modele demographique economique et social de trajectoires individuelles simulees, i.e. demographic, economic and social model of simulated individual trajectories) / Sophie Buffeteau -- Model 8 : GLADHISPANIA (a Spanish tax-benefits microsimulation model) / Amedeo Spadaro -- Model 9 : STINMOD (Static Incomes Model) / Quoc N. Vu -- Model 10 : EUROMOD the tax-benefit microsimulation model for the European Union / Holly Sutherland -- Model 11 : PSSRU long-term care finance model and CARESIM : two linked UK models of long-term care for older people / Robin Darton -- Model 12 : social policy simulation database and model (SPSD/M) / Brian Murphy -- Model 13 : the OECD tax-benefit model and policy database / Herwig Immervoll -- Model 14 : Pharmasim model / Anil Gupta -- Model 15 : LOTTE the Norwegian tax-benefit model system / Thor O. Thoresen -- Model 16 : IPDSM (Integrated Physician Demand and Supply Model) / Anil Gupta -- Model 17 : Registered Nurses Supply and Demand Models (NSM and NDM) / Marilyn B. Biviano -- Model 18 : MediSim (Static Microsimulation Model of the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme) / Laurie Brown -- Model 19 : SVERIGE / Magnus Stromgren -- Model 20 : NSW Hospitals Model / Linc Thurecht -- Model 21 : Customer Service Projection Model (cusp): a regional microsimulation model of Centrelink customers / Ben Phillips -- Model 22 SpatialMSM NATSEMs Small Area Household Model for Australia / Ann Harding -- Demographic change, health and health-risk behaviour across cohorts in Britain : implications for policy modelling / Jane Falkingham -- Measures of dependency among older people in community and residential settings in Scotland their development and application in resource forecasting / Adam Redpath.
Summary: This volume serves to present to interested readers recent developments in microsimulation and public policy. It strings together: selected papers presented at the International Microsimulation Conference on Population Ageing and Health: Modelling Our Future held in Canberra, Australia in December 2003; and recent thinking in the field of microsimulation as reflected in special contributions by some of the leading experts in the field; description of 20 key models relating to fiscal and health human resource issues concerning sustainability of health systems around the globe. The focus of the conference was on practical uses of microsimulation in government policy although theoretical underpinnings also received considerable attention. The volume covers a diversity of subjects: health status; pharmacare and health expenditure issues; financing, caring and health delivery; health human resources; and data challenges. To provide an insight into actual models used around the world, the book also has a section devoted to the challenges associated with building of microsimulation models and their current use in the formulation of public policy. The book presents some innovative analysis on public policy issues contained in some of the conference papers along with the methodological advancements made in the microsimulation field. It contains invaluable information that aims to help shape the current and future public policy debates in this area. The authors are established leaders in the field, and it is international in scope.
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Not for loan EBEP386

A selection of papers from a conference entitled: International Microsimulation Conference on Population Ageing and Health, held Dec. 2003 in Canberra, Australia.

Includes index.

Introduction and overview / Ann Harding -- Health status, health inequalities and the ability of older Australians to stay in the labour force / Agnes Walker -- Evaluating catastrophic drug expenditure plans / Bert Waslander -- Projections of Commonwealth health expenditure in Australia's first intergenerational report / George Rothman -- The Australian Pharmaceuticals benefit scheme and older australians : changes in government outlays and consumer costs from the 2002-03 federal budget measures / Ann Harding -- Modelling Medicare and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) utilisation and costs / Brett Parsons -- A microsimulation model for Pharmacare : development, analysis and policy applications / Anil Gupta -- Microsimulation model of medical insurance reform for government employees and workers in China / Lin Guohong -- The view from the middle : taking care of the young and the old / Steve Gribble -- A simulation model concerning future needs for long-term care of elderly persons in Sweden / Marten Lagergren -- Providing income support services to a changing aged population in Australia : Centrelinks regional microsimulation model / Anthony King -- Building policy-relevant health human resource models / Kisalaya Basu -- What is behind HRSA's projected U.S. supply, demand, and shortages of registered nurses / Timothy M. Dall -- Data quality and non-response effects when using logistical regression in the Welsh health survey / Ruth Studley -- Confidentiality and anonymised survey records : the UK experience / Paul Williamson -- Population ageing and health empirical needs for effective foresight / Michael C. Wolfson -- The search for ideas among existing microsimulation models / Anil Gupta -- Model 1 : MOSART (dynamic cross-sectional microsimulation model) / Nils M. Stolen -- Model 2 : DYNAMOD / Simon Kelly -- Model 3 : the SAGE Model : a dynamic microsimulation population model for Britain / Asghar Zaidi -- Model 4 : Lifepaths model / Steve Gribble -- Model 5 : SESIM (longitudinal dynamic microsimulation model) / Olle Sundberg -- Model 6 : DYNACAN (longitudinal dynamic microsimulation model) / Richard J. Morrison -- Model 7 : DESTINIE (modele demographique economique et social de trajectoires individuelles simulees, i.e. demographic, economic and social model of simulated individual trajectories) / Sophie Buffeteau -- Model 8 : GLADHISPANIA (a Spanish tax-benefits microsimulation model) / Amedeo Spadaro -- Model 9 : STINMOD (Static Incomes Model) / Quoc N. Vu -- Model 10 : EUROMOD the tax-benefit microsimulation model for the European Union / Holly Sutherland -- Model 11 : PSSRU long-term care finance model and CARESIM : two linked UK models of long-term care for older people / Robin Darton -- Model 12 : social policy simulation database and model (SPSD/M) / Brian Murphy -- Model 13 : the OECD tax-benefit model and policy database / Herwig Immervoll -- Model 14 : Pharmasim model / Anil Gupta -- Model 15 : LOTTE the Norwegian tax-benefit model system / Thor O. Thoresen -- Model 16 : IPDSM (Integrated Physician Demand and Supply Model) / Anil Gupta -- Model 17 : Registered Nurses Supply and Demand Models (NSM and NDM) / Marilyn B. Biviano -- Model 18 : MediSim (Static Microsimulation Model of the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme) / Laurie Brown -- Model 19 : SVERIGE / Magnus Stromgren -- Model 20 : NSW Hospitals Model / Linc Thurecht -- Model 21 : Customer Service Projection Model (cusp): a regional microsimulation model of Centrelink customers / Ben Phillips -- Model 22 SpatialMSM NATSEMs Small Area Household Model for Australia / Ann Harding -- Demographic change, health and health-risk behaviour across cohorts in Britain : implications for policy modelling / Jane Falkingham -- Measures of dependency among older people in community and residential settings in Scotland their development and application in resource forecasting / Adam Redpath.

This volume serves to present to interested readers recent developments in microsimulation and public policy. It strings together: selected papers presented at the International Microsimulation Conference on Population Ageing and Health: Modelling Our Future held in Canberra, Australia in December 2003; and recent thinking in the field of microsimulation as reflected in special contributions by some of the leading experts in the field; description of 20 key models relating to fiscal and health human resource issues concerning sustainability of health systems around the globe. The focus of the conference was on practical uses of microsimulation in government policy although theoretical underpinnings also received considerable attention. The volume covers a diversity of subjects: health status; pharmacare and health expenditure issues; financing, caring and health delivery; health human resources; and data challenges. To provide an insight into actual models used around the world, the book also has a section devoted to the challenges associated with building of microsimulation models and their current use in the formulation of public policy. The book presents some innovative analysis on public policy issues contained in some of the conference papers along with the methodological advancements made in the microsimulation field. It contains invaluable information that aims to help shape the current and future public policy debates in this area. The authors are established leaders in the field, and it is international in scope.

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